With the mid-term elections rapidly approaching, the dismal failure of the Biden administration is likely to weigh like an anchor on Democratic Party candidates up for re-election.
* On October 14, 2022, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that the Producer Price Index (PPI) increased 0.4 percent in September after falling 0.1 percent in August and 0.5 percent in July. The PPI advanced to an annual 8.5 percent rate in September. In September, gasoline prices started to take off again, hitting $3.77 for the week of October 24, with more increases on the way. The 99-day streak of gasoline price declines from mid-June to September 20 is likely soon to be a distant memory. Gasoline prices, however, are down from the June record of $5.03 per gallon.
* The next day, on October 13, 2022, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.4 percent in September after rising 0.1 percent in August and remaining unchanged in July. This increase in August slightly slowed the annual inflation pace to 8.2 percent in September, twice the expected amount. The September CPI revealed a shocking 8.2 percent year-to-year inflation rate, the highest in 40 years.
In November, the Federal Reserve is ready to raise interest in the next two meetings in November and December, with the Fed expected to
increase
rates
by 75 basis points for the fourth time in a row. The national debt has accelerated to $31.4 trillion, while the budget deficit is $1.4 trillion in the fiscal year 2022. The September employment data showed
lackluster job creation
, with a decline of 3.5 percent, a decrease in job openings by almost 10 percent, and wage growth at approximately 5 percent, all lower than expected.
Data that became available in October suggest the housing crash is intensifying. Home sales and listings in September both plunged over 20 percent in September, according to a report from the housing industry’s Redfin Economics Research. The number of homes sold in September fell 25 percent, while new listings decreased 22 percent in September—the most significant declines since May 2020 and April 2020, respectively, when the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic brought the housing market to a new halt.